6 months to live for open models
The White House is considering a new executive order to manage open models, but no official details are available. A potential ban on open-weights models could affect Chinese companies and government uses, risking a domino effect. Open models lack a central economic champion, while closed models benefit from better lobbying. Anthropic is campaigning against Chinese open models, potentially evolving into regulatory capture. The open-source ecosystem is progressing, but closed models are more secure and have better lobbying power. The community must resist distillation discussions, protect IP, and avoid isolation. Open models increase safety through broader access, but the US faces a policy dead end. A coalition is needed to promote open models and share benefits, with the shorter term focus on building the coalition and ensuring safe rollout
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